Monagas 2-1 Zamora — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Venezuela - Premier League, 15 Mar 2025

📅15/03/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
33%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.74
Over 2.5
47%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.5pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
33%
Away Win
20%
+12.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.9pp
47%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.9pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Monagas EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zamora EU Bookmakers 23%
-3% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -19%
1.49/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.43
+10% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
353 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 76%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.9
23.1 Crosses 12.1
3.0 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Monagas
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Zamora
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.08 xG 0.93
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
290 Passes 250
78% Pass Accuracy 72%
16 Box Touches 16
20 Crosses 17
4 Yellow Cards 3
12.10.2024 Zamora Zamora 2-4 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
13.04.2024 Monagas Monagas 1-0 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
29.07.2023 Monagas Monagas 2-1 HT 0-0 Zamora Zamora VEN
15.04.2023 Zamora Zamora 1-1 HT 1-1 Monagas Monagas VEN
20.10.2022 Monagas Monagas 1-1 HT 0-1 Zamora Zamora VEN
12.06.2022 Zamora Zamora 2-0 HT 0-0 Monagas Monagas VEN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Monagas
2-1
AWAY Zamora
1.36 xG 0.29
39% Ball Possession 61%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 8
212 Passes 339
75% Pass Accuracy 85%
20 Box Touches 29
12 Crosses 29
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Monagas vs Zamora
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Monagas edged past Zamora 2-1. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Monagas as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Monagas had 39% of the ball to Zamora's 61%, shots finished 10-12, expected goals 1.36 to 0.29.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Monagas had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Monagas and 1.17 for Zamora.

What was the final score of Monagas vs Zamora?

Monagas 2-1 Zamora in the Venezuela - Premier League on 15/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Monagas vs Zamora?

Before kick-off our model rated a Monagas win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Monagas 41%, draw 26%, Zamora 33%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Monagas) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Monagas) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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