Atletico Baleares 1-0 Atletic Lleida — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.49
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.78
Over 2.5
47%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.06
No
51%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
25%
X/2
6%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
63%
-3.1pp
22%
Draw
23%
-1.3pp
19%
Away Win
15%
+4.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
52%
+0.5pp
47%
Over 2.5
48%
-0.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+4.4pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atletico Baleares EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletic Lleida EU Bookmakers 18%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.79/0.55 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.39/1.38
+3% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -54% / +10%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
361 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 222 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Atletico Baleares
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Atletic Lleida
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
29.11.2025 Atletic Lleida Atletic Lleida 0-1 HT 0-0 Atletico Baleares Atletico Baleares İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atletico Baleares
1-0
AWAY Atletic Lleida
58% Ball Possession 42%
11 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Atletico Baleares vs Atletic Lleida
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Atletico Baleares nicked a narrow win over Atletic Lleida 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Atletico Baleares as the likeliest winner at 60%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Atletico Baleares had 58% of the ball to Atletic Lleida's 42%, shots finished 11-7.

What was the final score of Atletico Baleares vs Atletic Lleida?

Atletico Baleares 1-0 Atletic Lleida in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atletico Baleares vs Atletic Lleida?

Before kick-off our model rated a Atletico Baleares win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Atletico Baleares 60%, draw 22%, Atletic Lleida 19%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Atletico Baleares), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Atletico Baleares) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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