Utebo 1-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
22%
3.8
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.91
Over 2.5
49%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.85
No
49%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
24%
X/2
6%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.5pp
22%
Draw
23%
-0.5pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
48%
+3.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
52%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
50%
+0.5pp
50%
BTTS No
50%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 21%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +10%
2.37/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.18
+37% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +15%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
327 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
4W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 4
21.09.2025 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 0-3 HT 0-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
23.02.2025 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 0-2 HT 0-1 Utebo Utebo İS4
13.10.2024 Utebo Utebo 2-1 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
31.03.2024 Utebo Utebo 3-2 HT 2-1 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
19.11.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 2-0 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
1-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo and Zaragoza II couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Utebo at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Utebo had 50% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 50%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Utebo had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Utebo and 1.00 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Zaragoza II?

Utebo 1-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Utebo 59%, draw 22%, Zaragoza II 19%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Utebo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Under 2.5
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