Utebo 2-1 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 13 Oct 2024

📅13/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.75
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
15%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
53%
-5.8pp
27%
Draw
26%
+1.8pp
25%
Away Win
21%
+4.0pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.4pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+4.1pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 25%
+10% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -7%
1.66/0.60 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.27
+7% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +3%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
357 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
3.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 7
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
31.03.2024 Utebo Utebo 3-2 HT 2-1 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II İS4
19.11.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 2-0 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
2-1
AWAY Zaragoza II
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo squeezed past Zaragoza II 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Utebo had 52% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 48%, shots finished 11-8.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Utebo and 2.00 for Zaragoza II.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Zaragoza II?

Utebo 2-1 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 13/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Utebo 47%, draw 27%, Zaragoza II 25%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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