Utebo 3-2 Zaragoza II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 31 Mar 2024

📅31/03/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.04
Away
28%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.06
No
55%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
27%
Draw
29%
-2.4pp
28%
Away Win
27%
+1.5pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-2.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+2.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
44%
+0.8pp
55%
BTTS No
56%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Utebo EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Zaragoza II EU Bookmakers 30%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +6%
1.45/0.78 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.08
+15% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +9%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
378 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 19.0
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Utebo
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Zaragoza II
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 3
10 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 6
19.11.2023 Zaragoza II Zaragoza II 2-0 HT 1-0 Utebo Utebo İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Utebo
3-2
AWAY Zaragoza II
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 7
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Utebo vs Zaragoza II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Utebo nicked a narrow win over Zaragoza II 3-2. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Utebo as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Utebo had 50% of the ball to Zaragoza II's 50%, shots finished 9-20.

What was the final score of Utebo vs Zaragoza II?

Utebo 3-2 Zaragoza II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 31/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Utebo vs Zaragoza II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Utebo win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Utebo 45%, draw 27%, Zaragoza II 28%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Utebo) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Utebo) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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