Rayo Cantabria 4-1 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.35
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.9
Over 2.5
50%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.68
No
45%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
21%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.2pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.3pp
35%
Away Win
31%
+4.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
49%
+1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
51%
-1.4pp
55%
BTTS Yes
56%
-0.4pp
45%
BTTS No
44%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
1.44/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.43
+18% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -21%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 271 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
14.12.2025 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-1 HT 1-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
16.02.2025 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 2-2 HT 2-1 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
06.10.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
10.02.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
01.10.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 4-0 HT 1-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.04.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
4-1
AWAY Real Valladolid II
57% Ball Possession 43%
23 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria swept aside Real Valladolid II 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Rayo Cantabria as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 57% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 43%, shots finished 23-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Real Valladolid II?

Rayo Cantabria 4-1 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 41%, draw 23%, Real Valladolid II 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✓ BTTS Yes
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