Rayo Cantabria 2-2 Real Valladolid II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
1.96
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
33%
3.44
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.85
No
48%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
47%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
33%
Away Win
26%
+7.7pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
50%
+2.3pp
48%
BTTS No
50%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rayo Cantabria EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Real Valladolid II EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +13%
1.69/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.29
+31% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -6%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
285 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rayo Cantabria
1W-2D-2L
AWAY Real Valladolid II
1.40 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
06.10.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-1 HT 1-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
10.02.2024 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-1 HT 0-1 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
01.10.2023 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 4-0 HT 1-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
08.04.2023 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II 1-0 HT 0-0 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria İS4
27.11.2022 Rayo Cantabria Rayo Cantabria 1-2 HT 0-0 Real Valladolid II Real Valladolid II İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rayo Cantabria
2-2
AWAY Real Valladolid II
45% Ball Possession 55%
17 Total Shots 15
7 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rayo Cantabria vs Real Valladolid II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rayo Cantabria and Real Valladolid II shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 2-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Rayo Cantabria had 45% of the ball to Real Valladolid II's 55%, shots finished 17-15.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Real Valladolid II led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.40 goals for Rayo Cantabria and 1.00 for Real Valladolid II.

What was the final score of Rayo Cantabria vs Real Valladolid II?

Rayo Cantabria 2-2 Real Valladolid II in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rayo Cantabria vs Real Valladolid II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rayo Cantabria win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Rayo Cantabria 40%, draw 27%, Real Valladolid II 33%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Rayo Cantabria), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Rayo Cantabria) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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