Mainz 05 II 2-0 Bayern Alzenau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
58%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.94
Away
19%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.29
Over 2.5
60%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.6
No
40%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
17%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
58%
+0.7pp
23%
Draw
22%
+0.5pp
19%
Away Win
20%
-1.1pp
40%
Under 2.5
40%
+0.3pp
60%
Over 2.5
60%
-0.2pp
60%
BTTS Yes
58%
+2.0pp
40%
BTTS No
42%
-2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayern Alzenau EU Bookmakers 23%
+1% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -9%
2.38/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.95
+13% / -12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / -5%
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
378 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 259 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mainz 05 II
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Bayern Alzenau
2.25 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
13.09.2025 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 1-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
06.03.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 3-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 0-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mainz 05 II vs Bayern Alzenau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II beat Bayern Alzenau 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.25 goals for Mainz 05 II and 1.25 for Bayern Alzenau.

What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs Bayern Alzenau?

Mainz 05 II 2-0 Bayern Alzenau in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs Bayern Alzenau?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 59%, draw 23%, Bayern Alzenau 19%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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