Bayern Alzenau 1-3 Mainz 05 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.99
Draw
20%
3.64
Away
53%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.23
Over 2.5
62%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.53
No
44%
2.33
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
30%
-2.8pp
20%
Draw
24%
-3.5pp
53%
Away Win
46%
+6.4pp
38%
Under 2.5
41%
-2.9pp
62%
Over 2.5
59%
+2.9pp
56%
BTTS Yes
61%
-5.4pp
44%
BTTS No
39%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bayern Alzenau EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Mainz 05 II EU Bookmakers 50%
-22% / -22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -13%
1.21/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.56/1.73
-11% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -25%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
294 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 293 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bayern Alzenau
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
06.03.2021 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 2-1 HT 0-1 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau ALMBÖL
26.09.2020 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 3-1 HT 1-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
07.09.2019 Bayern Alzenau Bayern Alzenau 0-3 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Bayern Alzenau vs Mainz 05 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mainz 05 II beat Bayern Alzenau 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Mainz 05 II led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Bayern Alzenau and 2.00 for Mainz 05 II.

What was the final score of Bayern Alzenau vs Mainz 05 II?

Bayern Alzenau 1-3 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bayern Alzenau vs Mainz 05 II?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Bayern Alzenau 27%, draw 20%, Mainz 05 II 53%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mainz 05 II) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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