Homburg 1-1 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.82
Draw
28%
3.94
Away
23%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.23
Over 2.5
52%
1.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.35
No
48%
2.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
51%
-2.0pp
28%
Draw
22%
+5.9pp
23%
Away Win
27%
-3.9pp
48%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.3pp
52%
BTTS Yes
70%
-17.7pp
48%
BTTS No
30%
+17.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 31%
-6% / -23% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +8%
1.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/2.00
-5% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / -15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
360 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Steinbach
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
05.04.2025 Steinbach Steinbach 1-1 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
05.10.2024 Homburg Homburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Homburg Homburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Homburg Homburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg and Steinbach shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Steinbach led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Homburg and 1.17 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Steinbach?

Homburg 1-1 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Homburg 49%, draw 28%, Steinbach 23%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
13 Sep 2025
14:00 Hannover 96 II vs Jeddeloh Analysis →
15:00 BFC Preussen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt Analysis →
15:00 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
15:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Eilenburg Analysis →
15:00 SGV Freiberg vs Bahlinger SC Analysis →
15:00 Lehnerz vs Astoria Walldorf Analysis →