Steinbach 1-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.12
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.0
Over 2.5
54%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.63
No
37%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
14%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
43%
-6.8pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.3pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
-0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
+0.2pp
63%
BTTS Yes
57%
+5.7pp
37%
BTTS No
43%
-5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Steinbach EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / -3%
1.99/1.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.07/2.08
+19% / -36% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +57% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
312 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Steinbach
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Homburg Homburg 0-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
04.11.2023 Homburg Homburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Homburg Homburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
22.10.2021 Homburg Homburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Steinbach vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Steinbach and Homburg shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 31% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (63%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Steinbach and 0.83 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Steinbach vs Homburg?

Steinbach 1-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Steinbach vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Steinbach win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Steinbach 37%, draw 31%, Homburg 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Steinbach), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Steinbach) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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