Meuselwitz 2-1 Eilenburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
30%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.03
Over 2.5
48%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.7pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
30%
Away Win
29%
+1.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
45%
+6.3pp
48%
Over 2.5
55%
-6.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-10.3pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Meuselwitz EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 32%
-13% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
1.33/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.68/1.20
-21% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +27% / +29%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
330 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 244 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Meuselwitz
3W-1D-1L
AWAY Eilenburg
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 5
04.10.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-1 HT 0-0 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
03.05.2024 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
24.11.2023 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 0-1 HT 0-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
14.04.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 0-2 HT 0-1 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz ALMBÖL
24.10.2021 Meuselwitz Meuselwitz 1-1 HT 1-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Meuselwitz vs Eilenburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Meuselwitz squeezed past Eilenburg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Meuselwitz as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Meuselwitz had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Meuselwitz and 0.40 for Eilenburg.

What was the final score of Meuselwitz vs Eilenburg?

Meuselwitz 2-1 Eilenburg in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Meuselwitz vs Eilenburg?

Before kick-off our model rated a Meuselwitz win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Meuselwitz 45%, draw 25%, Eilenburg 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Meuselwitz) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Meuselwitz) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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