SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
SGV Freiberg v Mainz 05 II — Team-Based Signals
SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
4-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
1-2
HT 1-0
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 42% / 38% / 19% — and on the day Mainz 05 II made the difference.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.20 for Mainz 05 II.
What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II?
SGV Freiberg 0-1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II?
Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 42%, draw 38%, Mainz 05 II 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg) went the other way.