SGV Freiberg 0-1 Mainz 05 II — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
31%
3.28
Away
22%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
52%
1.83
Over
48%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
YesVIEW
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.94
Total Goals
0-1
27%
2-3
46%
4-5
22%
6+
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
19%
2/1
3%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME SGV Freiberg The Market 50%
Signal
AWAY Mainz 05 II The Market 31%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.25 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.27
0.91 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.91
Bad Attack Strength Strong
Great Defense Strength Weak
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
3W-0D-2L
AWAY Mainz 05 II
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 1.20
41% Ball Possession 59%
14 Total Shots 11
8 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 3-2 HT 2-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 0-2 HT 0-1 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-2 HT 0-1 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
08.04.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 4-0 HT 3-0 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II ALMBÖL
02.10.2022 Mainz 05 II Mainz 05 II 1-2 HT 1-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
REVIEW SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Mainz 05 II nicked a narrow win over SGV Freiberg 1-0 on their travels. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We leaned SGV Freiberg at 47% — softly — and the game went the other way. Slim leads do that.

No strong lean on goals — the model had over 2.5 at 48% and both teams to score at 53%, coin-flips both.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for SGV Freiberg and 1.20 for Mainz 05 II.

SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Result & Final Score

SGV Freiberg 0 - 1 Mainz 05 II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

SGV Freiberg vs Mainz 05 II Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 47%, draw 31%, Mainz 05 II 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (SGV Freiberg), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
5 Apr 2025
14:00 BFC Dynamo vs Altglienicke Analysis →
14:00 Babelsberg vs Viktoria Berlin Analysis →
15:00 Meuselwitz vs Eilenburg Analysis →
15:00 Steinbach vs Homburg Analysis →
15:00 Bahlinger SC vs Eintracht Trier Analysis →
15:00 Göppinger SV vs Villingen Analysis →