Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Mainz 05 II v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
Mainz 05 II shaded a tight game against SGV Freiberg 3-2. It stood 2-2 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart. A 5-goal game — the defences never settled.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Mainz 05 II as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (61%) came in.
Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Mainz 05 II and 2.25 for SGV Freiberg.
Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Result & Final Score
Mainz 05 II 3 - 2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Mainz 05 II win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 45%, draw 23%, SGV Freiberg 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mainz 05 II), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.