Mönchengladbach II 5-0 Düren Merzenich — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
28%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.15
Over 2.5
49%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.61
No
52%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
52%
-4.7pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
28%
Away Win
24%
+3.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
43%
+8.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
57%
-8.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
58%
-9.8pp
52%
BTTS No
42%
+9.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mönchengladbach II EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 28%
-2% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +5%
1.85/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.50
+2% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +13%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
294 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mönchengladbach II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Düren Merzenich
1.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
02.12.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 3-1 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
29.07.2023 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 1-2 HT 0-2 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
10.12.2022 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II 5-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
06.08.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 1-0 HT 0-0 Mönchengladbach II Mönchengladbach II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Mönchengladbach II vs Düren Merzenich
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mönchengladbach II swept aside Düren Merzenich 5-0. Half-time: 2-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Mönchengladbach II as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Düren Merzenich led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.75 goals for Mönchengladbach II and 1.50 for Düren Merzenich.

What was the final score of Mönchengladbach II vs Düren Merzenich?

Mönchengladbach II 5-0 Düren Merzenich in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mönchengladbach II vs Düren Merzenich?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mönchengladbach II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Mönchengladbach II 47%, draw 25%, Düren Merzenich 28%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mönchengladbach II), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mönchengladbach II) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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