Köln II 1-1 Uerdingen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.61
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
27%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
16%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
13%
2/2
13%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.5pp
25%
Draw
22%
+3.2pp
27%
Away Win
20%
+7.3pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.2pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Köln II EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Uerdingen EU Bookmakers 23%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +3%
2.43/1.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/1.34
+13% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -49% / +38%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
334 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Köln II
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Uerdingen
2.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.80
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.01.2022 Uerdingen Uerdingen 2-2 HT 0-1 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Köln II Köln II 8-2 HT 4-1 Uerdingen Uerdingen ALMBÖL
31.01.2015 Uerdingen Uerdingen 0-0 HT 0-0 Köln II Köln II ALMBÖL
09.08.2014 Köln II Köln II 1-0 HT 1-0 Uerdingen Uerdingen ALMBÖL
01.03.2014 Köln II Köln II 0-0 HT 0-0 Uerdingen Uerdingen ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Köln II vs Uerdingen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Köln II and Uerdingen couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Köln II at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (55%) landed while over 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, Köln II had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.20 goals for Köln II and 0.80 for Uerdingen.

What was the final score of Köln II vs Uerdingen?

Köln II 1-1 Uerdingen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Köln II vs Uerdingen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Köln II win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Köln II 47%, draw 25%, Uerdingen 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Köln II), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Köln II) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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