Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 Schalke 04 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.66
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
35%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.74
Over 2.5
50%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
56%
-14.5pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.6pp
35%
Away Win
23%
+11.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
33%
+17.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
67%
-17.0pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.2pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 27%
-2% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +3%
1.79/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.48
-9% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +13% / +15%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
421 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 349 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.6 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Schalke 04 II
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
29.01.2022 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-0 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
27.03.2021 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 3-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
11.04.2015 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 0-0 HT 0-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte cruised past Schalke 04 II 4-1. Half-time: 4-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 1.50 for Schalke 04 II.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 Schalke 04 II in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 41%, draw 24%, Schalke 04 II 35%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ BTTS Yes
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