MSV Duisburg 2-1 Rödinghausen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.0
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
46%
+1.5pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.9pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.0pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME MSV Duisburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Rödinghausen EU Bookmakers 32%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +26%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
343 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.7
POST-MATCH MSV Duisburg vs Rödinghausen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

MSV Duisburg nicked a narrow win over Rödinghausen 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had MSV Duisburg as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

What was the final score of MSV Duisburg vs Rödinghausen?

MSV Duisburg 2-1 Rödinghausen in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for MSV Duisburg vs Rödinghausen?

Before kick-off our model rated a MSV Duisburg win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split MSV Duisburg 48%, draw 23%, Rödinghausen 30%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (MSV Duisburg) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (MSV Duisburg) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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