Luckenwalde 0-2 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.67
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
39%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.74
Over 2.5
40%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
19%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
33%
-3.9pp
32%
Draw
28%
+3.9pp
39%
Away Win
39%
+0.0pp
60%
Under 2.5
54%
+6.3pp
40%
Over 2.5
46%
-6.3pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.5pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 43%
-8% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -1%
1.48/1.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.38
+0% / -27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -11% / +0%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Luckenwalde
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
06.04.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
20.10.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 0-0 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
16.10.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-1 HT 1-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
29.09.2021 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 1-1 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC got the better of Luckenwalde 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 32% / 39% — and on the day Chemnitzer FC made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (59%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Luckenwalde and 1.67 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?

Luckenwalde 0-2 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chemnitzer FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Luckenwalde 30%, draw 32%, Chemnitzer FC 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chemnitzer FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chemnitzer FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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