Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Mainz 05 II v SGV Freiberg — Team-Based Signals
Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
4-0
HT 3-0
Mainz 05 II
ALMBÖL
1-2
HT 1-0
SGV Freiberg
ALMBÖL
Mainz 05 II 0-2 SGV Freiberg — Actual Match Statistics
SGV Freiberg saw off Mainz 05 II 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) promised a tight game; SGV Freiberg found the edge the numbers couldn't.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, Mainz 05 II had 61% of the ball to SGV Freiberg's 39%, shots finished 14-16.
For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Mainz 05 II and 2.33 for SGV Freiberg.
What was the final score of Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg?
Mainz 05 II 0-2 SGV Freiberg in the Germany - Regional League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Mainz 05 II vs SGV Freiberg?
Before kick-off our model rated an SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Mainz 05 II 37%, draw 25%, SGV Freiberg 39%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.