Babelsberg 3-1 Viktoria Berlin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.45
Away
30%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.9
Over 2.5
44%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
48%
-6.8pp
29%
Draw
26%
+3.7pp
30%
Away Win
26%
+3.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
49%
+7.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
51%
-7.5pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Babelsberg EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Viktoria Berlin EU Bookmakers 30%
+6% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -13%
1.63/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.71
-8% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
327 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 298 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Babelsberg
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Viktoria Berlin
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 4-2 HT 1-2 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
31.03.2024 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 1-1 HT 1-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
06.10.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 3-0 HT 1-0 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
18.02.2023 Babelsberg Babelsberg 0-2 HT 0-1 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin ALMBÖL
28.08.2022 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 0-1 HT 0-1 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
23.10.2020 Viktoria Berlin Viktoria Berlin 3-0 HT 0-0 Babelsberg Babelsberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Babelsberg vs Viktoria Berlin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Babelsberg got the better of Viktoria Berlin 3-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Babelsberg as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Viktoria Berlin led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Babelsberg and 1.67 for Viktoria Berlin.

What was the final score of Babelsberg vs Viktoria Berlin?

Babelsberg 3-1 Viktoria Berlin in the Germany - Regional League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Babelsberg vs Viktoria Berlin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Babelsberg win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Babelsberg 41%, draw 29%, Viktoria Berlin 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Babelsberg) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Babelsberg) ✗ Under 2.5
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