Homburg 0-0 Steinbach — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 5 Oct 2024

📅05/10/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.54
Away
27%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.18
Over 2.5
55%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.55
No
42%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
11%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-4.4pp
31%
Draw
25%
+5.8pp
27%
Away Win
28%
-1.4pp
45%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
55%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.8pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Homburg EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Steinbach EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.66/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.61
-2% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / -1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
301 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Homburg
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Steinbach
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 1
04.11.2023 Homburg Homburg 3-0 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.04.2023 Homburg Homburg 0-3 HT 0-1 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 3-1 HT 2-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
09.04.2022 Steinbach Steinbach 0-0 HT 0-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
22.10.2021 Homburg Homburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
22.05.2021 Homburg Homburg 3-1 HT 0-0 Steinbach Steinbach ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Homburg vs Steinbach
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Homburg and Steinbach fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Homburg at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Homburg had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Homburg and 1.17 for Steinbach.

What was the final score of Homburg vs Steinbach?

Homburg 0-0 Steinbach in the Germany - Regional League on 05/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Homburg vs Steinbach?

Before kick-off our model rated a Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Homburg 42%, draw 31%, Steinbach 27%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
5 Oct 2024
14:00 Luckenwalde vs Chemnitzer FC Analysis →
14:00 Rot-Weiss Erfurt vs Hertha Zehlendorf Analysis →
15:00 Köln II vs Uerdingen Analysis →
15:00 Mönchengladbach II vs Düren Merzenich Analysis →
15:00 Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II Analysis →
15:00 Eintracht Hohkeppel vs Paderborn 07 II Analysis →