BFC Preussen 2-4 Rot-Weiss Erfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
52%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.1
Over 2.5
61%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.61
No
43%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-2.8pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.0pp
52%
Away Win
49%
+2.7pp
39%
Under 2.5
44%
-4.5pp
61%
Over 2.5
56%
+4.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
58%
-1.4pp
43%
BTTS No
42%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME BFC Preussen EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Rot-Weiss Erfurt EU Bookmakers 53%
-47% / -47% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +15% / +19%
1.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.10/1.15
-23% / -14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / +6%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.4
POST-MATCH BFC Preussen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rot-Weiss Erfurt beat BFC Preussen 4-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Rot-Weiss Erfurt as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of BFC Preussen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

BFC Preussen 2-4 Rot-Weiss Erfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for BFC Preussen vs Rot-Weiss Erfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated an Rot-Weiss Erfurt win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split BFC Preussen 24%, draw 24%, Rot-Weiss Erfurt 52%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rot-Weiss Erfurt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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