Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.49
Draw
21%
4.08
Away
17%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.1
Over 2.5
45%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.81
No
59%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
35%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
9%
2/1
8%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
63%
-1.0pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
17%
Away Win
16%
+0.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
44%
+11.5pp
45%
Over 2.5
56%
-11.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
51%
-10.3pp
59%
BTTS No
49%
+10.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 20%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +0%
1.74/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.68
-19% / +65% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +22%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
344 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
62% Ball Possession 38%
17 Total Shots 5
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
14.12.2024 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-2 HT 1-2 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
04.08.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
17.03.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
28.10.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig ran out comfortable winners over Luckenwalde 4-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (59%) landed while under 2.5 goals (55%) missed.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Luckenwalde led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.33 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 62%, draw 21%, Luckenwalde 17%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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