SGV Freiberg 5-0 Bahlinger SC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 13 Sep 2025

📅13/09/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 3-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
62%
1.42
Draw
15%
4.62
Away
23%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
Over 2.5
60%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
25%
X/2
9%
X/X
5%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
62%
Home Win
66%
-4.5pp
15%
Draw
19%
-3.4pp
23%
Away Win
15%
+7.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.7pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Bahlinger SC EU Bookmakers 18%
+15% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +1%
1.83/0.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/2.22
-14% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -8%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
374 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Bahlinger SC
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 4
15.03.2025 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
07.09.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-3 HT 1-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 0-0 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
29.08.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 3-2 HT 2-1 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
15.04.2023 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC 1-0 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
08.10.2022 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 1-0 HT 0-0 Bahlinger SC Bahlinger SC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs Bahlinger SC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg cruised past Bahlinger SC 5-0. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had SGV Freiberg as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, SGV Freiberg had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for SGV Freiberg and 0.67 for Bahlinger SC.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs Bahlinger SC?

SGV Freiberg 5-0 Bahlinger SC in the Germany - Regional League on 13/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs Bahlinger SC?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 62%, draw 15%, Bahlinger SC 23%. The final score 5-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SGV Freiberg), Over 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SGV Freiberg) ✓ Over 2.5
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