Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Aug 2024

Lokomotive Leipzig
1-1 HT 1-1
Luckenwalde
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.61
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
29%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.68
No
48%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
12%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
58%
-10.4pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.8pp
29%
Away Win
19%
+9.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+3.6pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
56%
-3.4pp
48%
BTTS No
44%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Lokomotive Leipzig v Luckenwalde — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Luckenwalde EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +9%
1.63/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.76
-25% / +75% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
398 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.5

Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Luckenwalde
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.03.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 HT 0-1 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
29.09.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-0 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
16.04.2023 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-1 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
28.10.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-0 HT 0-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
15.05.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-1 HT 2-0 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde ALMBÖL
02.02.2022 Luckenwalde Luckenwalde 2-3 HT 1-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig and Luckenwalde couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotive Leipzig at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.33 for Luckenwalde.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 Luckenwalde in the Germany - Regional League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 47%, draw 24%, Luckenwalde 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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