Holstein Kiel II 1-1 Bremer SV — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
1.96
Draw
30%
3.54
Away
36%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.29
Over 2.5
49%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.5
No
43%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
47%
-13.2pp
30%
Draw
25%
+5.3pp
36%
Away Win
28%
+7.9pp
51%
Under 2.5
40%
+11.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
60%
-11.3pp
57%
BTTS Yes
62%
-5.5pp
43%
BTTS No
38%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Holstein Kiel II EU Bookmakers 51%
Head to Head
AWAY Bremer SV EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -16%
1.78/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/2.84
+5% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -44%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
356 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Holstein Kiel II
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Bremer SV
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
16.03.2024 Bremer SV Bremer SV 2-0 HT 0-0 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
23.09.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 3-1 HT 2-0 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
02.04.2023 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II 1-2 HT 0-2 Bremer SV Bremer SV ALMBÖL
02.10.2022 Bremer SV Bremer SV 3-2 HT 2-1 Holstein Kiel II Holstein Kiel II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Holstein Kiel II vs Bremer SV
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Holstein Kiel II and Bremer SV shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 30% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged both teams to score (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Bremer SV led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Holstein Kiel II and 2.00 for Bremer SV.

What was the final score of Holstein Kiel II vs Bremer SV?

Holstein Kiel II 1-1 Bremer SV in the Germany - Regional League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Holstein Kiel II vs Bremer SV?

Before kick-off our model rated an Bremer SV win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Holstein Kiel II 34%, draw 30%, Bremer SV 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Bremer SV) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Bremer SV) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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