Hertha Berlin II 0-1 Chemnitzer FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.27
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
34%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
2.03
Over 2.5
46%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.6
No
54%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
40%
-2.3pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.4pp
34%
Away Win
34%
-0.0pp
54%
Under 2.5
45%
+8.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
55%
-8.6pp
46%
BTTS Yes
58%
-12.1pp
54%
BTTS No
42%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 38%
+4% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -3%
1.48/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.57
-9% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
288 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 371 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hertha Berlin II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.04.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-5 HT 0-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
05.11.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 4-1 HT 2-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
21.05.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 3-1 HT 2-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
09.12.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 2-0 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
18.08.2021 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-0 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hertha Berlin II
0-1
AWAY Chemnitzer FC
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Hertha Berlin II vs Chemnitzer FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC edged past Hertha Berlin II 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match split (38% / 28% / 34%) promised a tight game; Chemnitzer FC found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Hertha Berlin II had 59% of the ball to Chemnitzer FC's 41%, shots finished 13-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Hertha Berlin II and 2.17 for Chemnitzer FC.

What was the final score of Hertha Berlin II vs Chemnitzer FC?

Hertha Berlin II 0-1 Chemnitzer FC in the Germany - Regional League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hertha Berlin II vs Chemnitzer FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hertha Berlin II win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Hertha Berlin II 38%, draw 28%, Chemnitzer FC 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hertha Berlin II) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
ALMBÖL More Germany - Regional League
4 Aug 2024
14:00 Lokomotive Leipzig vs Luckenwalde Analysis →
14:00 Eilenburg vs Altglienicke Analysis →
14:00 Carl Zeiss Jena vs Hertha Zehlendorf Analysis →
15:00 Todesfelde vs Havelse Analysis →
15:00 Holstein Kiel II vs Bremer SV Analysis →
15:00 Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II Analysis →