Eilenburg 2-2 Altglienicke — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.08
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
47%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.29
Over 2.5
57%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.5
No
46%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
29%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
10%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
29%
-1.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.3pp
47%
Away Win
47%
+0.3pp
43%
Under 2.5
40%
+3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
60%
-3.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
62%
-8.4pp
46%
BTTS No
38%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Eilenburg EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Altglienicke EU Bookmakers 51%
-15% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.18/2.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.09
-14% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Eilenburg
3W-0D-1L
AWAY Altglienicke
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 9
1 Yellow Cards 2
26.04.2024 Altglienicke Altglienicke 2-3 HT 1-1 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
10.11.2023 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 0-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
12.03.2022 Eilenburg Eilenburg 1-0 HT 1-0 Altglienicke Altglienicke ALMBÖL
10.09.2021 Altglienicke Altglienicke 6-0 HT 3-0 Eilenburg Eilenburg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Eilenburg vs Altglienicke
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Eilenburg and Altglienicke shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-2.

Our pre-match lean was Altglienicke at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Eilenburg had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Eilenburg and 2.00 for Altglienicke.

What was the final score of Eilenburg vs Altglienicke?

Eilenburg 2-2 Altglienicke in the Germany - Regional League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Eilenburg vs Altglienicke?

Before kick-off our model rated an Altglienicke win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Eilenburg 27%, draw 25%, Altglienicke 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Altglienicke) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Altglienicke) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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