Düren Merzenich 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 4 Aug 2024

Düren Merzenich
2-0 HT 1-0
Fortuna Düsseldorf II
📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
Germany - Regional League – 2024/2025

Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.8
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
38%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.21
Over 2.5
54%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.6
No
47%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
52%
-11.1pp
21%
Draw
24%
-2.4pp
38%
Away Win
24%
+13.5pp
46%
Under 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
54%
Over 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
58%
-5.2pp
47%
BTTS No
42%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Düren Merzenich v Fortuna Düsseldorf II — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Düren Merzenich EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II EU Bookmakers 28%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +30%
2.37/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.16
+30% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +40% / +46%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
338 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 339 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.9

Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Düren Merzenich
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Fortuna Düsseldorf II
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
13.04.2024 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 5-0 HT 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
08.04.2023 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II 0-0 HT 0-0 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich ALMBÖL
15.10.2022 Düren Merzenich Düren Merzenich 0-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Düsseldorf II Fortuna Düsseldorf II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Düren Merzenich saw off Fortuna Düsseldorf II 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (41% / 21% / 38%) promised a tight game; Düren Merzenich found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Düren Merzenich and 0.50 for Fortuna Düsseldorf II.

What was the final score of Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Düren Merzenich 2-0 Fortuna Düsseldorf II in the Germany - Regional League on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Düren Merzenich vs Fortuna Düsseldorf II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Düren Merzenich win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Düren Merzenich 41%, draw 21%, Fortuna Düsseldorf II 38%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Düren Merzenich) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Düren Merzenich) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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