Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.57
Draw
19%
3.94
Away
27%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.66
No
49%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
10%
X/X
8%
2/1
11%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
59%
-5.1pp
18%
Draw
22%
-3.4pp
27%
Away Win
19%
+8.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
49%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 22%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / -4%
1.84/0.57 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/2.26
-13% / +79% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +21% / -18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
412 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
3.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2025 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 2-7 HT 1-3 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
22.02.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 HT 1-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
29.08.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-6 HT 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.03.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.10.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-3 HT 1-3 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
27.01.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig cruised past Hertha Berlin II 4-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 3.83 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.33 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II?

Lokomotive Leipzig 4-0 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 54%, draw 18%, Hertha Berlin II 27%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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