Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 Hertha Berlin II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.97
Over 2.5
52%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.73
No
46%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
51%
-6.8pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.7pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+3.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
47%
+1.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
53%
-1.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
54%
-0.2pp
46%
BTTS No
46%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Hertha Berlin II EU Bookmakers 28%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -6%
1.40/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.61/1.97
-22% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / -15%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 3
331 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 311 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Lokomotive Leipzig
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Hertha Berlin II
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.08.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 0-6 HT 0-2 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
29.03.2024 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
06.10.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 3-3 HT 1-3 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
27.01.2023 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II 1-2 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
07.08.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 4-2 HT 3-1 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
30.04.2022 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-0 Hertha Berlin II Hertha Berlin II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Lokomotive Leipzig ran out comfortable winners over Hertha Berlin II 4-1. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Lokomotive Leipzig as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Lokomotive Leipzig had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Lokomotive Leipzig and 1.50 for Hertha Berlin II.

What was the final score of Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II?

Lokomotive Leipzig 4-1 Hertha Berlin II in the Germany - Regional League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Lokomotive Leipzig vs Hertha Berlin II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Lokomotive Leipzig 44%, draw 28%, Hertha Berlin II 27%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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