Hessen Kassel 2-1 Homburg — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.08
Draw
30%
3.35
Away
40%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.86
Over 2.5
53%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
9%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
29%
+0.7pp
30%
Draw
27%
+3.1pp
40%
Away Win
44%
-3.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.9pp
53%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.9pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.0pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hessen Kassel EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Homburg EU Bookmakers 48%
+4% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.13/1.61 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/1.05
-17% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
261 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hessen Kassel
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Homburg
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 3
17.08.2024 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 1-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
27.04.2024 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-1 HT 2-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
21.10.2023 Homburg Homburg 2-1 HT 1-1 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
25.03.2023 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel 2-0 HT 1-0 Homburg Homburg ALMBÖL
13.09.2022 Homburg Homburg 3-2 HT 0-2 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
12.02.2022 Homburg Homburg 1-1 HT 0-0 Hessen Kassel Hessen Kassel ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Hessen Kassel vs Homburg
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hessen Kassel edged past Homburg 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 30% / 40% — and on the day Hessen Kassel made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Hessen Kassel and 1.33 for Homburg.

What was the final score of Hessen Kassel vs Homburg?

Hessen Kassel 2-1 Homburg in the Germany - Regional League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hessen Kassel vs Homburg?

Before kick-off our model rated an Homburg win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Hessen Kassel 30%, draw 30%, Homburg 40%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Homburg) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Homburg) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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