SGV Freiberg 1-1 FSV Frankfurt — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.91
Over 2.5
46%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.68
No
51%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
48%
+5.4pp
46%
Over 2.5
52%
-5.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-6.2pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+6.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME SGV Freiberg EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY FSV Frankfurt EU Bookmakers 39%
+13% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +12%
1.92/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/0.99
+32% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +49%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME SGV Freiberg
1W-2D-2L
AWAY FSV Frankfurt
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 2.20
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.08.2024 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-1 HT 0-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
09.03.2024 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 0-0 HT 0-0 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
02.09.2023 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 2-3 HT 0-2 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
20.05.2023 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg 2-2 HT 0-1 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt ALMBÖL
12.11.2022 FSV Frankfurt FSV Frankfurt 5-0 HT 3-0 SGV Freiberg SGV Freiberg ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SGV Freiberg and FSV Frankfurt couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, FSV Frankfurt led the recent series with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for SGV Freiberg and 2.20 for FSV Frankfurt.

What was the final score of SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt?

SGV Freiberg 1-1 FSV Frankfurt in the Germany - Regional League on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for SGV Freiberg vs FSV Frankfurt?

Before kick-off our model rated a SGV Freiberg win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split SGV Freiberg 37%, draw 25%, FSV Frankfurt 37%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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