Pogon Siedlce 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
54%
1.74
Over
46%
1.96
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.82
No
49%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1
29%
2.74
2-3
46%
1.7
4-5
21%
3.78
6+
4%
17.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
18%
2/1
2%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
STRENGTH — pattern support: Good → Great · fuller bar = deeper record. Informational.
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pogon Siedlce The Market 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow The Market 34%
Bad Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.19
1.09 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.51
Bad Attack Strength Average
Strong Defense Strength Strong
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
328 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pogon Siedlce
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.08.2025 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
12.04.2025 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 2-1 HT 1-0 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
28.09.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 1-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL1
23.04.2023 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-0 HT 0-0 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
17.09.2022 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce 3-4 HT 2-3 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL2
22.05.2022 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 0-1 HT 0-1 Pogon Siedlce Pogon Siedlce POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pogon Siedlce
1 - 0
AWAY Znicz Pruszkow
44% Ball Possession 56%
15 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
REVIEW Pogon Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszkow
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pogon Siedlce squeezed past Znicz Pruszkow 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Pogon Siedlce as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Neither goals market gave much away — over 2.5 sat at 46% and both teams to score at 51%.

Under the surface, Znicz Pruszkow saw more of the ball, 56% to 44%, shots finished 15-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pogon Siedlce had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Pogon Siedlce against 1.00 for Znicz Pruszkow.

Pogon Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszkow Result & Final Score

Pogon Siedlce 1 - 0 Znicz Pruszkow in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pogon Siedlce vs Znicz Pruszkow Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pogon Siedlce win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Pogon Siedlce 41%, draw 29%, Znicz Pruszkow 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pogon Siedlce), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pogon Siedlce) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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