Shinnik 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.33
Draw
31%
2.83
Away
28%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.52
Over 2.5
46%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.27
No
46%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
4%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
12%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
39%
+1.4pp
31%
Draw
32%
-0.4pp
28%
Away Win
29%
-0.9pp
54%
Under 2.5
62%
-7.7pp
46%
Over 2.5
38%
+7.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
40%
+13.6pp
46%
BTTS No
60%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shinnik EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk EU Bookmakers 32%
+3% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -12%
0.90/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.96/1.50
-27% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -27%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
328 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shinnik
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
42% Ball Possession 58%
7 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.09.2025 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
23.11.2024 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
06.10.2024 Shinnik Shinnik 2-0 HT 1-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
12.11.2023 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 4-1 HT 1-1 Shinnik Shinnik RUS1
07.10.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 1-1 HT 0-0 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
12.03.2023 Shinnik Shinnik 2-2 HT 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Yenisey Krasnoyarsk RUS1
POST-MATCH Shinnik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shinnik and Yenisey Krasnoyarsk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Shinnik at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shinnik and 1.17 for Yenisey Krasnoyarsk.

What was the final score of Shinnik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Shinnik 1-1 Yenisey Krasnoyarsk in the Russia - FNL on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shinnik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Shinnik win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shinnik 41%, draw 31%, Yenisey Krasnoyarsk 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Shinnik) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Shinnik) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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