Ural 2-0 Arsenal Tula — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒11:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.82
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
23%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
51%
+1.0pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
23%
Away Win
23%
+0.0pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.8pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.8pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.1pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ural EU Bookmakers 55%
Head to Head
AWAY Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 26%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +2%
1.16/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.04
-16% / +12% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
340 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 6.0
Crosses 6.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ural
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Arsenal Tula
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.61 xG 1.09
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
343 Passes 415
79% Pass Accuracy 84%
21 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
24.10.2025 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 0-2 Ural Ural RUS1
24.03.2025 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
16.09.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
21.05.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUS
27.09.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
04.04.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ural
2-0
AWAY Arsenal Tula
35% Ball Possession 65%
10 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
1 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ural vs Arsenal Tula
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural saw off Arsenal Tula 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Ural had 35% of the ball to Arsenal Tula's 65%, shots finished 10-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Ural and 0.50 for Arsenal Tula.

What was the final score of Ural vs Arsenal Tula?

Ural 2-0 Arsenal Tula in the Russia - FNL on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ural vs Arsenal Tula?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Ural 52%, draw 25%, Arsenal Tula 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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