Volga Ulyanovsk 2-2 Chelyabinsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.46
Draw
33%
2.94
Away
30%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
Over 2.5
33%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.16
No
58%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
13%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
18%
2/1
4%
2/2
8%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
37%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
30%
Away Win
32%
-2.4pp
42%
BTTS Yes
42%
+0.4pp
58%
BTTS No
58%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelyabinsk EU Bookmakers 36%
-16% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
1.02/1.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/0.82
-11% / -35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +39%
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
365 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volga Ulyanovsk
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Chelyabinsk
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 4
09.08.2025 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk 1-0 HT 1-0 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk RUS1
07.08.2018 Volga Ulyanovsk Volga Ulyanovsk 1-1 HT 1-0 Chelyabinsk Chelyabinsk RUK
POST-MATCH Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Volga Ulyanovsk and Chelyabinsk couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (37% / 33% / 30%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Chelyabinsk led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Volga Ulyanovsk and 1.00 for Chelyabinsk.

What was the final score of Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?

Volga Ulyanovsk 2-2 Chelyabinsk in the Russia - FNL on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volga Ulyanovsk vs Chelyabinsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Volga Ulyanovsk win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Volga Ulyanovsk 37%, draw 33%, Chelyabinsk 30%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Volga Ulyanovsk) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
RUS1 More Russia - FNL
15 Mar 2026
11:30 Ural vs Arsenal Tula Analysis →
15:00 FK Ufa vs Sokol Saratov Analysis →
16:00 Shinnik vs Yenisey Krasnoyarsk Analysis →