Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Russia - FNL, 24 Oct 2025

📅24/10/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.11
Away
44%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.59
Over 2.5
49%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.99
No
47%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
9%
X/2
19%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+3.1pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.2pp
44%
Away Win
45%
-1.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
59%
-7.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
41%
+7.5pp
53%
BTTS Yes
46%
+6.5pp
47%
BTTS No
54%
-6.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Arsenal Tula EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Ural EU Bookmakers 49%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
0.50/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.53/1.36
-51% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -34%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Arsenal Tula
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Ural
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.96 xG 1.37
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
378 Passes 353
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
14 Box Touches 21
16 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 3
24.03.2025 Ural Ural 0-0 HT 0-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS1
16.09.2024 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 0-0 Ural Ural RUS1
21.05.2022 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-2 HT 1-2 Ural Ural RUS
27.09.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 2-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
04.04.2021 Ural Ural 2-0 HT 1-0 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula RUS
18.10.2020 Arsenal Tula Arsenal Tula 1-0 HT 1-0 Ural Ural RUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Arsenal Tula
1-2
AWAY Ural
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 6
7 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Arsenal Tula vs Ural
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ural nicked a narrow win over Arsenal Tula 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Ural as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Arsenal Tula had 58% of the ball to Ural's 42%, shots finished 8-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ural led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Arsenal Tula and 1.00 for Ural.

What was the final score of Arsenal Tula vs Ural?

Arsenal Tula 1-2 Ural in the Russia - FNL on 24/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Arsenal Tula vs Ural?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ural win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Arsenal Tula 30%, draw 26%, Ural 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ural), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Ural) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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