Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Shakhtar Donetsk v Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Team-Based Signals
Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 0-0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
UKR
1-2
HT 0-1
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
0-7
HT 0-4
Shakhtar Donetsk
UKR
0-0
HT 0-0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
UKR
2-0
HT 0-0
Metalist 1925 Kharkiv
UKR
Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv — Actual Match Statistics
Shakhtar Donetsk squeezed past Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Shakhtar Donetsk as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.
On the day, Shakhtar Donetsk had 52% of the ball to Metalist 1925 Kharkiv's 48%, shots finished 4-3.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Shakhtar Donetsk had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Shakhtar Donetsk and 0.33 for Metalist 1925 Kharkiv.
What was the final score of Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Shakhtar Donetsk 1-0 Metalist 1925 Kharkiv in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Shakhtar Donetsk vs Metalist 1925 Kharkiv?
Before kick-off our model rated a Shakhtar Donetsk win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Shakhtar Donetsk 61%, draw 24%, Metalist 1925 Kharkiv 16%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Shakhtar Donetsk) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.