Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Zorya Luhansk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
23%
3.04
Away
41%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.59
Over 2.5
48%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.95
No
52%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
9%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.8pp
23%
Draw
30%
-6.8pp
41%
Away Win
33%
+7.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.5pp
48%
BTTS Yes
47%
+0.8pp
52%
BTTS No
53%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kolos Kovalivka EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Zorya Luhansk EU Bookmakers 37%
+1% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
0.92/0.77 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.22/1.06
-14% / +39% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / -2%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
307 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 344 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
43% Ball Possession 57%
5 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2025 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 1-3 HT 0-2 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
30.03.2025 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 0-3 HT 0-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
23.09.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 1-0 HT 0-0 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
09.05.2024 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
21.04.2023 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka 0-1 HT 0-1 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk UKR
01.12.2022 Zorya Luhansk Zorya Luhansk 2-2 HT 1-1 Kolos Kovalivka Kolos Kovalivka UKR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kolos Kovalivka
1-1
AWAY Zorya Luhansk
9 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 0
1 Corners 2
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kolos Kovalivka and Zorya Luhansk couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (36% / 23% / 41%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kolos Kovalivka had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kolos Kovalivka and 0.83 for Zorya Luhansk.

What was the final score of Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk?

Kolos Kovalivka 1-1 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kolos Kovalivka vs Zorya Luhansk?

Before kick-off our model rated an Zorya Luhansk win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Kolos Kovalivka 36%, draw 23%, Zorya Luhansk 41%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Zorya Luhansk), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Zorya Luhansk) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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