Albion 0-1 CA Penarol — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
16%
4.65
Draw
21%
3.45
Away
63%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.54
Over 2.5
48%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.27
No
52%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
4%
X/2
27%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
30%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
16%
Home Win
19%
-2.4pp
21%
Draw
26%
-5.6pp
63%
Away Win
55%
+8.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
61%
-9.1pp
48%
Over 2.5
39%
+9.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
40%
+8.0pp
52%
BTTS No
60%
-8.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Albion EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY CA Penarol EU Bookmakers 58%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +7%
0.92/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.64/0.76
+7% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -1%
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
279 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.5 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Albion
0W-1D-2L
AWAY CA Penarol
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 4
14.08.2022 CA Penarol CA Penarol 2-0 HT 0-0 Albion Albion URU
23.07.2022 Albion Albion 1-3 HT 0-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
20.02.2022 Albion Albion 1-1 HT 1-1 CA Penarol CA Penarol URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Albion
0-1
AWAY CA Penarol
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Albion vs CA Penarol
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

CA Penarol nicked a narrow win over Albion 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had CA Penarol as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Albion had 49% of the ball to CA Penarol's 51%, shots finished 8-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, CA Penarol led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Albion and 2.00 for CA Penarol.

What was the final score of Albion vs CA Penarol?

Albion 0-1 CA Penarol in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Albion vs CA Penarol?

Before kick-off our model rated an CA Penarol win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Albion 16%, draw 21%, CA Penarol 63%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (CA Penarol), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (CA Penarol) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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