Central Espanol 1-3 Cerro Largo — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Mar 2026

📅15/03/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
28%
2.94
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.51
Over 2.5
42%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
2.09
No
51%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.1pp
29%
Draw
30%
-1.7pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.8pp
58%
Under 2.5
62%
-4.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
38%
+4.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
44%
+5.5pp
51%
BTTS No
56%
-5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Espanol EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Cerro Largo EU Bookmakers 32%
-54% / -54% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +3%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.02
-100% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +15%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 3.2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Espanol
1-3
AWAY Cerro Largo
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cerro Largo got the better of Central Espanol 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Central Espanol at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Central Espanol had 47% of the ball to Cerro Largo's 53%, shots finished 9-8.

What was the final score of Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?

Central Espanol 1-3 Cerro Largo in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/03/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Espanol vs Cerro Largo?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Espanol win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Central Espanol 41%, draw 29%, Cerro Largo 31%. The final score 1-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Central Espanol) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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