FC Juarez 0-1 Tijuana — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Mexico - Primera, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒05:06 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
37%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.9
Over 2.5
57%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.68
No
46%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.42
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
25%
3.47
6+ Goals
13%
13.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
18%
X/X
7%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+1.4pp
21%
Draw
27%
-6.2pp
37%
Away Win
32%
+4.8pp
43%
Under 2.5
49%
-5.4pp
57%
Over 2.5
51%
+5.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
-1.3pp
46%
BTTS No
44%
+1.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Juarez EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Tijuana EU Bookmakers 36%
-1% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -19%
1.30/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.51
-7% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / -26%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
286 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 79%
22.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.3
20.2 Crosses 16.1
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Juarez
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Tijuana
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.35 xG 1.14
56% Ball Possession 44%
15 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
339 Passes 258
81% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 18
20 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 3
30.09.2023 Tijuana Tijuana 5-1 HT 1-1 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
15.01.2023 FC Juarez FC Juarez 3-0 HT 2-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
09.07.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 0-2 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
21.03.2022 Tijuana Tijuana 1-0 HT 0-0 FC Juarez FC Juarez MEK
14.08.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 1-1 HT 1-1 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
16.01.2021 FC Juarez FC Juarez 0-0 HT 0-0 Tijuana Tijuana MEK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Juarez
0-1
AWAY Tijuana
0.83 xG 0.77
73% Ball Possession 27%
15 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
566 Passes 153
89% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Box Touches 12
33 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH FC Juarez vs Tijuana
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tijuana nicked a narrow win over FC Juarez 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (42% / 21% / 37%) promised a tight game; Tijuana found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Juarez had 73% of the ball to Tijuana's 27%, shots finished 15-6, expected goals 0.83 to 0.77.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for FC Juarez and 1.17 for Tijuana.

What was the final score of FC Juarez vs Tijuana?

FC Juarez 0-1 Tijuana in the Mexico - Primera on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Juarez vs Tijuana?

Before kick-off our model rated a FC Juarez win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split FC Juarez 42%, draw 21%, Tijuana 37%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (FC Juarez) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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