Pumas UNAM 1-0 Leon — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Mexico - Primera, 15 Apr 2024

📅15/04/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.64
Away
25%
3.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under
38%
2.25
OverVIEW
62%
1.57
Both Teams to Score
Yes
61%
1.5
No
39%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
18%
4.84
2-3
42%
1.93
4-5
29%
2.8
6+
11%
7.59
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
3%
2/2
14%
2/X
5%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.
SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Pumas UNAM The Market 53%
Signal
AWAY Leon The Market 31%
Great Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
2.23 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.38
1.06 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.43
Great Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Average
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
322 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 77%
23 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19
19 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pumas UNAM
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Leon
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.17 xG 1.51
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 6
227 Passes 412
74% Pass Accuracy 84%
14 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 24
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2023 Leon Leon 1-1 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
22.01.2023 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 4-1 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
10.07.2022 Leon Leon 3-3 HT 0-2 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
13.02.2022 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM 2-1 HT 2-1 Leon Leon MEK
21.10.2021 Leon Leon 1-2 HT 0-1 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM MEK
16.09.2021 Leon Leon 2-0 HT 1-0 Pumas UNAM Pumas UNAM CONLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Pumas UNAM
1 - 0
AWAY Leon
1.48 xG 0.46
63% Ball Possession 37%
18 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
456 Passes 237
90% Pass Accuracy 78%
25 Box Touches 12
28 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Pumas UNAM vs Leon
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Pumas UNAM nicked a narrow win over Leon 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pumas UNAM as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The one blemish: over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (61%) never looked like landing.

On the day, Pumas UNAM had 63% of the ball to Leon's 37%, shots finished 18-11, expected goals 1.48 to 0.46.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Pumas UNAM had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Pumas UNAM and 1.50 for Leon.

Pumas UNAM vs Leon Result & Final Score

Pumas UNAM 1 - 0 Leon in the Mexico - Primera on 15/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Pumas UNAM vs Leon Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Pumas UNAM win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Pumas UNAM 51%, draw 24%, Leon 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pumas UNAM) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pumas UNAM) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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