Illertissen 3-3 Bayreuth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
33%
2.25
Draw
35%
3.28
Away
32%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.82
Over 2.5
41%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
No
46%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
12%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
15%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
33%
Home Win
41%
-7.8pp
35%
Draw
27%
+8.4pp
32%
Away Win
32%
-0.7pp
59%
Under 2.5
51%
+7.8pp
41%
Over 2.5
49%
-7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Illertissen EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Bayreuth EU Bookmakers 36%
-12% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.19/1.27 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.50
-25% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +4%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 249 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.4
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Illertissen
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Bayreuth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 3
14.09.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 1-0 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
01.03.2024 Bayreuth Bayreuth 0-1 HT 0-0 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
25.08.2023 Illertissen Illertissen 3-1 HT 0-1 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
29.04.2022 Illertissen Illertissen 0-1 HT 0-0 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
02.10.2021 Bayreuth Bayreuth 4-2 HT 2-1 Illertissen Illertissen ALMBÖL
07.03.2020 Illertissen Illertissen 1-4 HT 1-2 Bayreuth Bayreuth ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Illertissen vs Bayreuth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Illertissen and Bayreuth shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 33% / 35% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bayreuth led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Illertissen and 1.83 for Bayreuth.

What was the final score of Illertissen vs Bayreuth?

Illertissen 3-3 Bayreuth in the Germany - Regional League on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Illertissen vs Bayreuth?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Illertissen 33%, draw 35%, Bayreuth 32%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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