Neman Grodno 3-0 Vitebsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Belarus - Cup, 15 Apr 2025

Neman Grodno
3-0 HT 1-0
Vitebsk
📅15/04/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
Belarus - Cup – 2024/2025

Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.57
Draw
31%
3.45
Away
20%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
69%
1.51
Over 2.5
31%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.51
No
62%
1.46
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
42%
2.15
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
16%
5.32
6+ Goals
5%
35.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.15 — our 42% vs market 38.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
3%
X/1
21%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
3%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
60%
-10.2pp
31%
Draw
26%
+5.2pp
20%
Away Win
15%
+4.9pp
69%
Under 2.5
62%
+6.9pp
31%
Over 2.5
38%
-6.9pp
38%
BTTS Yes
36%
+2.1pp
62%
BTTS No
64%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Neman Grodno v Vitebsk — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Neman Grodno EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Vitebsk EU Bookmakers 18%
+8% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
0.96/0.36 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.38
-49% / +144% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / +19%
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
321 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 245 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.4

Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Neman Grodno
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Vitebsk
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
31.08.2024 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-1 HT 0-1 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR
21.04.2024 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 0-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
12.03.2023 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 2-1 HT 0-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLRK
05.03.2023 Vitebsk Vitebsk 0-0 HT 0-0 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLRK
12.11.2022 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno 1-1 HT 1-0 Vitebsk Vitebsk BLR
16.07.2022 Vitebsk Vitebsk 2-2 HT 1-2 Neman Grodno Neman Grodno BLR

Neman Grodno 3-0 Vitebsk — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Neman Grodno
3-0
AWAY Vitebsk
58% Ball Possession 42%
18 Total Shots 5
12 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 0
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Neman Grodno ran out comfortable winners over Vitebsk 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Neman Grodno as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (69%) missed.

On the day, Neman Grodno had 58% of the ball to Vitebsk's 42%, shots finished 18-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Neman Grodno had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Neman Grodno and 0.83 for Vitebsk.

What was the final score of Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk?

Neman Grodno 3-0 Vitebsk in the Belarus - Cup on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Neman Grodno vs Vitebsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Neman Grodno win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Neman Grodno 49%, draw 31%, Vitebsk 20%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Neman Grodno), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Neman Grodno) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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