Nacional Potosi 3-0 Guabira — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 15 Apr 2025

📅15/04/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.28
Draw
21%
5.15
Away
18%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
Over 2.5
59%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
31%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
33%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
22%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
5%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
73%
-12.4pp
21%
Draw
16%
+5.2pp
18%
Away Win
10%
+7.3pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.6pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 78%
Head to Head
AWAY Guabira EU Bookmakers 14%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -10%
2.02/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.78/2.06
+21% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -7%
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
332 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 203 · 70%
27.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.5
24.7 Crosses 11.8
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nacional Potosi
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Guabira
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.68 xG 1.24
60% Ball Possession 40%
17 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
351 Passes 216
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
22 Box Touches 17
25 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.10.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-0 HT 0-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
26.05.2024 Guabira Guabira 1-1 HT 1-0 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
26.11.2023 Guabira Guabira 6-1 HT 4-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
29.05.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 6-0 HT 3-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
05.10.2022 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-1 HT 1-0 Guabira Guabira BOLİ
29.04.2022 Guabira Guabira 1-2 HT 0-1 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nacional Potosi
3-0
AWAY Guabira
1.92 xG 0.26
65% Ball Possession 35%
16 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 2
399 Passes 163
84% Pass Accuracy 65%
22 Box Touches 4
30 Crosses 7
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Nacional Potosi vs Guabira
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi ran out comfortable winners over Guabira 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Nacional Potosi had 65% of the ball to Guabira's 35%, shots finished 16-7, expected goals 1.92 to 0.26.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Nacional Potosi had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for Nacional Potosi and 1.50 for Guabira.

What was the final score of Nacional Potosi vs Guabira?

Nacional Potosi 3-0 Guabira in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 15/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nacional Potosi vs Guabira?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Nacional Potosi 61%, draw 21%, Guabira 18%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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