Sportfreunde Lotte 2-5 Schalke 04 II — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Apr 2026

📅15/04/2026 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.38
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
Over 2.5
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.46
No
44%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
38%
+5.8pp
23%
Draw
25%
-2.2pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.6pp
56%
BTTS Yes
64%
-8.7pp
44%
BTTS No
36%
+8.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 40%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.93/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.84/1.89
+22% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -24%
53% Ball Possession 47%
15 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
386 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sportfreunde Lotte
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Schalke 04 II
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2025 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 3-0 HT 2-0 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
29.03.2025 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 1-2 HT 1-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
05.10.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 HT 4-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
29.01.2022 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-0 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
27.03.2021 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 3-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Schalke 04 II swept aside Sportfreunde Lotte 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Sportfreunde Lotte at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (56%), and both reads landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Sportfreunde Lotte and 2.17 for Schalke 04 II.

What was the final score of Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II?

Sportfreunde Lotte 2-5 Schalke 04 II in the Germany - Regional League on 15/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sportfreunde Lotte vs Schalke 04 II?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Sportfreunde Lotte 44%, draw 23%, Schalke 04 II 33%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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