Schalke 04 II 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 29 Mar 2025

📅29/03/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.99
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
42%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.55
No
54%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
7%
X/1
16%
X/2
9%
X/X
8%
2/1
6%
2/2
23%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.7pp
22%
Draw
25%
-3.4pp
42%
Away Win
45%
-3.2pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.7pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.7pp
46%
BTTS Yes
60%
-14.9pp
54%
BTTS No
40%
+14.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Schalke 04 II EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +10%
1.12/1.38 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.03/1.11
-17% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
294 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Schalke 04 II
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Sportfreunde Lotte
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 2
05.10.2024 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 4-1 HT 4-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
29.01.2022 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 2-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
28.08.2021 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-0 HT 1-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
27.03.2021 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II 4-1 HT 3-1 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte ALMBÖL
24.10.2020 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 0-0 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
28.09.2019 Sportfreunde Lotte Sportfreunde Lotte 2-1 HT 0-0 Schalke 04 II Schalke 04 II ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sportfreunde Lotte squeezed past Schalke 04 II 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sportfreunde Lotte as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sportfreunde Lotte led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Schalke 04 II and 1.67 for Sportfreunde Lotte.

What was the final score of Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Schalke 04 II 1-2 Sportfreunde Lotte in the Germany - Regional League on 29/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Schalke 04 II vs Sportfreunde Lotte?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sportfreunde Lotte win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Schalke 04 II 36%, draw 22%, Sportfreunde Lotte 42%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sportfreunde Lotte) ✗ BTTS No
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